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Methods of Risk Estimation and Analysis
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The themes of this monograph include modern engineering problems of marine traffic engineering, focusing on what this discipline deals with: navigational safety assessment methods. These include:
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Andrzej Bak Graduate of the Faculty of Navigation at the Maritime University of Szczecin. He obtained his Master's degree in marine navigation in 1994. In 2006, he defended his PhD thesis entitled: "Mathematical model of ship collision situation". In December 2010, he was awarded the diploma of master mariner. From 2010 to August 2012 he was Director of the Institute of Marine Navigation. He is one of the originators of the electronic chart simulator (ECDIS - Electronic Chart Display and Information System). His PhD thesis included the use of Bayesian networks for the detection and assessment of the navigation situation and, consequently, for the development of the most optimal solution in terms of navigation safety. As a contractor, he participated in: targeted scientific research projects, e.g. Development of an optimum solution for a pilot navigation system; Construction of a pilot docking system for LNG tankers and sea ferries; Construction of a navigation simulator for inland vessels IN - Sim Inland Navigation Simulator. The scientific activities carried out are not only of national character, as exemplified by the participation in international projects, e.g. EfficienSea - Efficient, Safe and Sustainable Traffic at Sea, Baltic Master II, which was a key project in the European Union Strategy for the Baltic Sea Region bringing together all countries in the region. He is the author and co-author of numerous Polish and English language publications.
Prof. Ph.D. engineer captain Stanislaw Gucma was born on November 23, 1945 in Zawada. He graduated from two faculties at the Kaliningrad Technical University: in 1969, the Faculty of Industrial Fisheries, and in 1970, the Faculty of Navigation. He started working in 1971 at the Faculty of Navigation of the Maritime University of Szczecin, where he works to this day. While working at the University, he gave lectures on maritime navigation and maritime traffic engineering and periodically sailed on various types of ships to obtain a diploma of a sea captain in 1989. He served as Rector twice, in 1996-2002 and 2008-2016. Prof. Ph.D. engineer captain Stanislaw Gucma is the founder of the Polish school of maritime traffic engineering, which deals with the qualitative and quantitative description of ship traffic in restricted water areas in terms of navigation safety. He built a scientific team at the University, which currently numbers over 30 scientists, including 10 independent scientists. He is the author of 22 books and monographs and 224 publications.
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